
Nate Pardo-Marrero
3 hrs ago
3 min read
It’s not far-fetched to say that Teofimo Lopez and Shakur Stevenson will face their toughest tests in one another Saturday.
Lopez will defend his Ring and WBO junior welterweight titles against Stevenson in the main event of The Ring 6 card at Madison Square Garden in New York on DAZN Pay-Per-View.
Lopez (22-1, 13 KOs), of Brooklyn, will be making the third defense of his belts. He’s coming off a one-sided unanimous decision win over previously unbeaten Arnold Barboza Jr. last May.
Stevenson (24-0, 11 KOs), rated No. 1 at lightweight and No. 7 pound-for-pound by The Ring, will be seeking a title in a fourth division. The slick southpaw from Newark, New Jersey, last fought in July, when he handed William Zepeda his first setback by unanimous decision in the third defense of his WBC lightweight title.
Here is what the CompuBox stats say heading into Lopez vs. Stevenson.
Lopez’s average punch stats over the last 10 fights:
• 14.4 punches landed per round
• 47.9 punches thrown per round
• 3.2 jabs landed per round
• 21.4 jabs thrown per round
• 11.2 power punches landed per round
• 26.5 power punches thrown per round
Stevenson’s average punch stats over the last 12 fights:
• 15.1 punches landed per round
• 40.9 punches thrown per round
• 4 jabs landed per round
• 17.7 jabs thrown per round
• 11.1 power punches landed per round
• 23.2 power punches thrown per round
Stevenson is the more efficient fighter offensively. His 36.9% overall connect rate is fourth among championship fighters, and his 47.8% power-shot connect rate trails only unified junior bantamweight titleholder Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez. Combine that with Stevenson’s defensive prowess, and it isn’t hard to figure out why he is one of boxing’s most difficult puzzles to solve.
Stevenson ranks first among championship fighters in percentage of power punches landed by his opponents (19.5) and is second in percentage of opponents’ overall punches landed (16.7) and opponents’ punches landed per round (7.1), trailing only unified light heavyweight champion Dmitry Bivol. He’s also fifth in opponents' power punches landed per round (5).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7L5ocCZtAeI
Stevenson boasts a 20.2 plus-minus rating, the percentage of punches landed vs. punches taken, making him one of only three fighters – with Floyd Mayweather and Vasiliy Lomachenko – to have a rating higher than 20.
Lopez is also judicious with his power punches, as he lands at a 42.3% clip. Opponents landed an average of 28.6% of their power punches against him (6.1 per round).
Lopez has been busier and more efficient against southpaws. Against Lomachenko, whom he defeated by unanimous decision to become the unified lightweight champion, Lopez land an average of 15.3 of 55.0 punches per round (27.8%). In his unanimous decision win over Josh Taylor to become the Ring and WBO 140-pound champion, Lopez connected on 13.2 of 43.0 punches landed per round (30.6%).
In terms of power punches, Lopez’s numbers were nearly identical, as he landed 11.5 of 28.6 per round on average against Taylor (40.2%), compared to 12.3 of 30.3 vs. Lomachenko (40.7%).
Those numbers pale in comparison to his decision victories over Jamaine Ortiz and Sandor Martin. In his 10-round split decision win over Martin, he averaged 9.7 of 39.1 punches landed per round (24.8%), including 7.6 of 22.0 power shots (34.5%). In his title defense vs. Ortiz, he averaged 6.5 of 30.3 punches landed per round (21.4%), including 5.5 of 16.9 power shots per round (32.5%) in a unanimous decision win.
Lopez and Stevenson are natural counter punchers who have found most of their success making their punches count rather than overwhelming their opponents with volume. That could lead to a lot of waiting for the opponent to miss and pay. Lopez could also take the same approach he took against Lomachenko, leaning more on volume than punch economy.
Regardless, a high-level chess match is likely to take place. And whether Lopez can break Stevenson’s defensive shell could be the deciding factor in who leaves the world’s most famous arena with one of, if not the best win of his career.
“The Ring 6” is available via pay-per-view for $69.99 in the United States and £24.99 in the United Kingdom. It is included for subscribers to DAZN’s Ultimate plan ($44.99 per month in the U.S.; £24.99 in the UK).
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